The Defence Horizon Journal has recently published a series of quite remarkable essays around the theme "aspects of cognitive superiority"--an issue at the heart of modern warfare--as the recent coherent eruptions on US campuses and elsewhere evidence quite brilliantly: Aspects of Cognitive Superiority: Shaping Beliefs and Behaviours (26 April 2024; free download HERE). The issue was built around the 5th Cyber Power Symposium on Hybrid Conflict/Warfare (CHP) and its theme: "The Cyber and Hybrid Aspects of Cognitive Warfare/Superiority." The object is to continue to advance the study of cognitive warfare, and in the process to consider some of its implication for traditional approaches to the protection of human rights, including speech.
All of the essays produced for that event are worth a careful read. Dr. Teija Tiilikainen, Director of the European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Treats, set the tone:
The recent focus on the cognitive dimension addresses a specific target of cyber threats, which may be far more difficult to protect than physical systems or structures. When threats are directed against the cognitive dimension, it is the mental structures, or the human mind in general, that become the target. This is nothing new, as conflicts and war have always included a strong ideational dimension. Apart from physical objectives, political conflicts deal with ideas, ideologies, and narratives. The novelty of current threats to the cognitive dimension is linked to modern technologies and the cyber capabilities they provide to influence and manipulate the human mind. In this way, the cyber and cognitive dimensions become a perilous combination that requires the immediate attention of the security policy community. (Teija Tiilikainen, ''The Cyber and Hybrid Aspects of Cognitive Warfare/Superiority,' Aspects of Cognitive Superiority, supra p. 4)
Major General Stefano Cont, Capability, Armament and Planning Director, European Defense Agency, noted in his keynote address:
In my view, cognitive warfare integrates cyber, information, psychological, and social engineering capabilities to achieve its ends. It exploits the internet and social media to target influential individuals, specific groups, and large numbers of citizens selectively and serially in society. Cognitive warfare therefore means that the human mind becomes a battlefield. The aim is not only to change what people think, but also how they think and act. When waged successfully, cognitive warfare shapes and influences individual and group beliefs and behaviours in favour of the tactical or strategic objectives of the attacker. We have to find the right answers to how we can strengthen our resilience against cognitive threats, and who we should educate, train and conduct exercises with to enhance our capacity to resist and respond. (Stefano Cont, ''The Cyber and Hybrid Aspects of Cognitive Warfare/Superiority,' Aspects of Cognitive Superiority, supra p. 6)
All of this, of course, has the potential to upend the carefully crafted and quite vibrant foundational premises on which liberal democracy operates and that has served as its great strength. Premises crafted and so successfully applied in a prior historical era may, in the face of technological, moral, and strategic revolutions in the present historical era, may be reshaped, whether the great liberal democratic institutions themselves drive them, or they are driven by events. The discussion, with additional non-military contemporary origins in the COVID mis- dis- and mal- information policy debates, is in its infancy. Its consequences, however, already are being felt.
At the same time it is necessary to pause for a moment to recall that the programming of people is an ancient science, one the domination of which has served as a foundation on which all social relations are built. The process and its instruments were usually quite transparent, or at least easy enough for humans to track and expose. What makes the issue much more interesting now, and therefor far more useful as a critical instrument of warfare, is the way that technology has both enhanced and disguised the forms and projection of that programming. "Rudimentary capabilities previously limited CW-like operations to masses, nations, organizations, and occasionally high-priority leaders. Today, however, disruptive ICT has made identifying thousands—even millions—of specific individuals, analyzing their behaviors and traits, and targeting their cognition possible." (Majors Andrew MacDonald and Ryan Ratcliffe, U.S. Marine Corps, "Cognitive Warfare: Maneuvering in the Human Dimension," US Naval Institute April 2023 (Proceedings,Vol. 149/4/1,442).
Bernard Claverie and François du Cluzel noted that "Cognitive warfare is
now seen as its own domain in modern warfare. . . Cognitive warfare is
the art of using technological tools to alter the cognition of human
targets, who are often unaware of any such attempt - as are those
entrusted with countering, minimizing, or managing its consequences,
whose institutional and bureaucratic reactions are too slow or
inadequate." (Bernard Claverie and François du Cluzel, '
The Cognitive Warfare Concept' (December 2023).The programming of discursive contests around social relations have moved form the human to the virtual--and from physical reality to its simulacra. And, given the way in which the regulation of generative artificial intelligence, and big data tech is moving, it is likely to produce fundamental conflict between principles of control and the realities of the weaponization of technology for the control of the minds of physical beings who can then be deployed within the target political community (eg
here, and
here; more theoretical discussion
here).
It is in this context that the essays in this issue are most useful. These include essays by (1) Sascha Dov Bachmann (TikTok And The Relevance Of The Cognitive Warfare Domain, pp. 7-10); (2) Peter B.M.J. Pijpers (On Cognitive Warfare: The Anatomy of Disinformation, pp- 11-17); (3) Matthias Wasinger (The Highest Form of Freedom and the West’s Best Weapon to Counter Cognitive Warfare, pp. 18-25); (4) Maria Papadaki (The Role Of Cyber Security In Cognitive Warfare, pp. 26-31); (5) Josef Schröfl and Sönke Marahrens (The Russia-Ukraine Conflict From a Hybrid Warfare Cognitive Perspective, pp. 32-40); (6) Chris Bronk (New Problems in Hybrid Warfare: Cyber Meets Cognition, pp. 41-47); (7) Gazmend Huskaj (Future Elections and AI-Driven Disinformation, pp. 48-59); (8) Matthew Warren (Hybrid Threats – The Chinese Focus On Australia, pp. 60-64); and (9) Bernard Siman (AI and Microtargeting Disinformation As A Security Threat To The Protection Of International Forces, pp. 65-69).
Each is worth a careful read; the abstract/summaries (in the form of abstract; problem statement; and 'so what?') of each follow below. I want to briefly highlight one of the contributions for its connection with recent events in the United States.
Sascha Dov Bachmann (TikTok And The Relevance Of The Cognitive Warfare Domain, pp. 7-10; see also here) argues that the Hamas-Israel war is being fought both on the battlefield but also in the domain of cognitive warfare. The cognitive objective is narrative control--to manage the way that foreigners see, understand, and approach the war and its combatants, and in this way to sway the governments that might ally themselves with one (the Israeli) side. One combines narrative premises that are then embedded into interpretive processes around events, making it possible to have a target group believe the unbelievable and to reject as specious facts provided to refute false assertions on the basis of the premises that change cognitive processes. The success of this cognitive war was illustrated with the affair of the bombing of the Al-Ahli Hospital in Gaza.
Bachmann notes that in the Gaza context, the global network managing cognitive operations use a combination of disinformation, robustly leveraged through supportive traditional news organs and other reliable mouthpieces with some influence among target collectives, and the management of the cognitive processes through which target collectives are trained to receive and process information. To that end cognitive rewiring is made more successful when existing cognitive and interpretive processes are redirected or developed rather than when they are substituted with something else. In the Gaza case that is an easier proposition according to Bachmann.
Recycling old historical positions and facts regarding colonialism and oppression are part of the new cognitive warfare approach. . . . Targeting Western audiences with anti-Ukraine and anti-Israel content on TikTok is highly sophisticated and shockingly successful. Young Australian and U.S. audiences have become convinced that Israel is a foreign coloniser of indigenous land and is waging a genocidal war against the Palestinians as the land’s indigenous people. . . . TikTok’s targeting of Generation ‘Z’ in the context of the Palestinian– Israel conflict highlights the role this generation is being accredited for in going against the political and diplomatic position their governments would take.
The management of the story of the Al-Ahli Hospital suggests the utility of cognitive techniques. A New York Times analysis in its own tentative way framed the issue and the consequences:
The hospital explosion is important in its own right: It was the biggest
news story in the world for days and sparked protests across the Middle
East. The explosion also has a larger significance: It offers clues
about how to judge the claims about civilian casualties that are central
to Hamas’s war message. * * * This evidence, in turn, suggests that the
Gaza Ministry of Health, controlled by Hamas, has deliberately told the
world a false story. U.S. officials believe that the health ministry
also inflated the toll when it announced 500 deaths; the actual number
appears to be closer to 100. This
episode doesn’t mean that Gazan officials always mislead or that Israeli
officials always tell the truth. * * * But the hospital explosion
offers reason to apply particular skepticism to Hamas’s claims about
civilian deaths — which are an undeniable problem in this war. Hamas’s
record on the war’s most closely watched incident does not look good. (Revisiting the Gaza Hospital Explosion)
The role of Tik Tok and its imitators is especially interesting. It suggests a number of strategic considerations. The first is that the transmission of knowledge is increasingly detached from its older forms. That, in turn, suggests tat the old premises on which authoritativeness and relevance for knowledge production and transmission--grounded in text and its sources in conventional institutional voices and their bureaucracies (including academia)--is giving way to new markers of authority. The third is that notions of transparency are increasingly failing as the voices projected virtually may not be who they represent themselves to be, nor, for that matter, are the virtual representations human in the sense of the recording of natural persons. It follows that the transmitters of knowledge and their legitimacy are masked within expectations of legitimacy--grounded in age, and the emerging identitarian categories. But in the virtual anyone can be anything. The fifth is that while the performance of knowledge production and transmission through virtual spaces may be detached from its sources, the forms and objectives of that production and dissemination are easier to obscure. It follows that obscurity can hid both contestations and the guidance of baseline premises and modes of thinking from out of which it is possible to direct "correct" or "intended" interpretation of data. The seventh is that the forms of knowledge transmission, and the tending to the structures of cognition, have shifted in form as well as content. The visualization of knowledge, and the processes of making sense of imagery, connected to the shifting of cognition as something felt rather than thought, substantially shifts as well the way in which a subject population can be made to think in a particular way or approach understanding of stimuli (now visual and aural, supported by text but not driven by it) in a way that predictive modeling can help produce. For examples images of dead babies and blasted civilian apartment complexes may be connected to a bombing or it may be connected to a decision to embed combatants in a space reserved for medical care of civilians. The pathways to cognition as a function of that imagery will depend on the hard work of managing predicate
presumptions about justification of belief that guide targeted groups to think, in this example, in terms of "knowing"that the moral unworthiness of striking an opponent and "knowing" that the decision to conduct military operations from under a civilian apartment building is a matter of moral indifference or in this case a positive moral stance.
Two last points are worth mentioning as perhaps consequences of these movements. The first is that what follows is that the management of cognition permits the management of emotion (currently the politics of rage, though that also has a long pedigree in the pre-virtual world) that reduces the necessity of the rational by substituting pre-packaged analytical pathways. Cognition cultivates feeling rather than understanding. Triggering, fear, elation, anger, rage, and the like, are the cognitive pathways not just to knowledge, but to its interpretation. An anti-rationalism, long in the making from the time of the first efforts at psychoanalysis, permits an alignment of cognition and pre-digested meaning. In one sense this takes one back in time to the pre-modern; but in another is it a quite post-modern project, fusing psychologies of the self with collective meaning making that is driven by (eventually generative) big data tech. That, in turn, permits the insertion of interpretive conclusions that make sense even against physical data. It is not merely that facts don't matter; it is the control of the cognition of facticity in virtual realms that make it possible to detach ourselves from the limits of the observable in the physical in space, place and time. In a sense, these are well evidenced by the Al Ahli affair.
The second is that, especially when combined with strategic political agitation, the stress on the 18th century construction of notions of speech, speech acts, and engagement within a political collective, may require, or may make inevitable, some substantial redevelopment of the core premises of those structures. The semiotics of speech and speech acts already point in that direction in the era of the virtual. Speech is an object, it is an embodiment of signification, and its meaning and power is a function of collective rules for its interpretation and consequences. The 18th century construct presumed an (idealized) identity between the three, as well as its circularity, self-referencing character, and the identification and differentiation of the internal and external. What is emerging as cognitive warfare principles and practice merely suggest what semiotics has understood for some time: that this ideal within political systems can be managed to guide, in turn, the stability and solidarity of groups presumed to be engaged in self-referencing dialectical experiences. Tik Tok, in this sense, is a semiotic representation of the 20th century age of the therapeutic and of self-actualization within identitarian categories, now digitized and (re)manufactured within manufactured virtual spaces from which new ways of embracing group feeling can be projected;
what appears free, again, is managed. Again, one partial way to begin to try to think about how/why this different from the past is both (1) the utility of the virtual in detaching physical from digitalized spaces; and (2) the diffusion of presumptions of authority from its old institutions (from which pre-modern cognition wars were fought in the form of religious ans cultural wars) downward (to individual speakers), inward (to virtual sources), and outward (toward interlinked and masked generators of strategic hard rewiring of cognitive processes to specific ends) (
longer and more theoretical discussion of implications and sources here). Where that takes social structures, at this point, is anybody's guess.
All of these are quite preliminary thoughts. Prof. Bachmann provides a quite useful way to organize that thinking. What makes for cognitive success is implied in the analysis though unconsciously--the willingness of target collectives to presume the proclivities of one side and the other; the premise that one side must be both capable and morally indifferent enough to undertake that action, and the willingness to believe the power of that amorality to produce substantial death. Even after investigation, there is a reluctance to credit the facts--because they get in the way of the underlying premise, and with it the cognitive certainty that there is a villain in the story is is always the Israelis. The reluctance is always expressed in the form of something like, well they were right this time but we know they are otherwise morally suspect in what they do and say. They cannot be believed at least without substantial proof (eg
here). When generalized we come back to Prof. Bachmann's thesis--that segments of the population can be trained to approach reality in a specific way that can be managed in a way that advances the interests of those doing the managing. In this case it is Hamas that has co opted control of the cognitive development of important segments of targeted populations to serve its own interests in ways that may have consequences for cognitive solidarity structures within the state targeted. And in the domains of cognitive warfare the combatants include the governing institutions of the United States the stability and control of which is the subject of the intervention (
here,
here, and
here).